Independent professional writing published on Substack and here. Reflections on strategy, technology, trade, and the world.
A century of aerial bombardment campaigns says the same thing — you cannot bomb a country into submission when your demands threaten its existence.
The United States built the postwar free-trade order. Now it is dismantling its own creation — while the rest of the world races to liberalize without it.
When feedback is delayed, the connection between cause and consequence disappears — and leaders keep making decisions as if the damage isn't real.
An exploration of how AI-driven market engineering allows decentralized networks of Middle Powers to bypass the centralized hubs of traditional Hegemons.
The United States spent seventy years building the most powerful alliance network in human history. Donald Trump has dismantled it in one year — and the real damage isn't to treaties, it's to trust.
The new U.S. trade policy treats product surpluses as market abuse, reflecting a fundamental misunderstanding of why trade has existed for thousands of years.
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